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Demographic crisis

Topics: Help: Demographic crisis

Michael Servus Dei Defensor Fideique Populi

Wednesday, March 2, 2016 - 09:50 am Click here to edit this post
Lam Kingdom Golden Rainbow (world rank #25)

Could anyone look into my population stats to see how I could solve the demographic crisis caused by my wrong decision to buy population a few days ago? Thanks!

I don't want to attack C3s.

Michael Servus Dei Defensor Fideique Populi

Wednesday, March 2, 2016 - 10:14 am Click here to edit this post
My analysis

Age Birth Rate
0-4 0
4-8 0
8-12 0
12-15 0
15-18 0
18-21 4.229
21-24 5.095
24-30 5.095
30-35 5.095
35-40 3.250
40-45 0 (for the remaining)

However, currently % of total population of the age groups is as below:

0-4 6.241%
4-8 6.215%
8-12 6.188%
12-15 4.625%
15-18 4.609%
18-21 4.592%
18-21 4.592%
21-24 4.563%
24-30 9.014%
30-35 7.384%
35-40 7.210%
40-45 6.973%
45-50 6.637%
50-55 6.185%
55-60 5.375%
60-65 4.537%
65-70 3.320%
70-75 2.285%
75-80 1.502%
>80 2.545%

Michael Servus Dei Defensor Fideique Populi

Wednesday, March 2, 2016 - 10:22 am Click here to edit this post
1. I closed hospitals these days in an attempt to cap my health index from 140 something to 134 or slightly above 130. This was to follow Aries' suggestion in his previous threads and our discussion in 'Suggestions' forum. Now the average age drops from 35.1 to 34.99, and I expect it to fall more. This could explain the net death in my country - a net decrease of 30000 in population each year. As a result, this has cut my retirement pension cost (I believe) though this is a defunct game feature. I expect the elderly to die more and things would become normal.

2. I purchased population before cutting health index. I hope this would not harm my country too much. A sudden 2 to 3 million rise within a few years might be the reason why >80 age group is suddenly larger than those from 60 to 80 years old.

3. I don't understand why the total number of newborns as calculated by the birth rate x age group population does not match with the total population of age group 0-4.

4. In general, about 48% of my country's population is below 30 (or 35, forgotten which figure I took). Is this a healthy sign?

5. I foresee an abrupt aging population and concomitant labour shortage after 20 game years, followed by a period of normalized birth. Is this reasonable?

Seriously need help with my country's development.


Friday, March 4, 2016 - 04:06 pm Click here to edit this post
The most telling stat is average age. Depending on its level, it becomes increasingly difficult to maintain natural population growth. In short, the lower it is, the more growth you have.

Your average age is currently 34.96. An average age of about 34.5 is the break even point of 120-130 health index. Less than 34.5 and you get growth, more and you see a population decline. The downside of more health index is that the average age will continue to go up and up and always leads to population decline, eventually.

The higher average age also leads to a larger older population, which results in a smaller workforce relative to your population. Note that if you try to keep adding hospitals for higher and higher health index, you have the larger problem of a smaller workforce and then employing a larger proportion of those workers in your health system.

If you choose not to raid, you have a long road to correct this on your own. I would continue to advise not to purchase population, as they would mimic your current demographic. It is best to work on reducing average age, possibly with a somewhat lower health index for some time. Perhaps lowering health to 110, or even 100,finding the bottom for average age for that health level, and then purchasing pop to get things going in the right direction again.

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